Theories As To Why Edwards Is Winning In Iowa And Other Christmas Eve Must-Reads
For those die-hards who are paying attention to politics today, here are a few things you shouldn't miss:
* Chris Bowers considers four theories that are floating around about why John Edwards is really winning in Iowa -- but concludes that Edwards ultimately doesn't have enough to win the state.
* Adam Nagourney gives us an extensive rundown on all the ways that the Rudy campaign is in trouble.
* The Washington Post's Michael Shear does the same for the Romney campaign. (A lot of GOP presidential campaigns seem to be in trouble these days, don't they?)
* Mark Halperin has the script of a new AFSCME ad hitting Obama on health care that stars Krugman, and concludes: "Paul Krugman+female narrator=health care attack."
* Matthew Yglesias catches some great stuff from Ron Paul's interview yesterday with Tim Russert.
* And Taylor Marsh has lots, lots more on the Paul interview, including video.
Late Update: I've edited the above in response to a commenter who correctly noted that I'd somewhat misrepresented Bowers' post.
Comments (11)
evan wrote on December 24, 2007 9:36 AM:Greg- You may wantto take another look at Chris' post. He argues that Edwards is NOT really ahead in Iowa. Your title is very misleading.
Greg wrote on December 24, 2007 10:03 AM:fair enough. I've updated the post.
bvd wrote on December 24, 2007 10:24 AM:Greg - It STILL says in the headline and the link on the home page that Edwards is winning in Iowa. Huh?
framecop wrote on December 24, 2007 11:06 AM:Gee, more negative-leaning comments about John Edwards on Talking Points Memo. Why am I not surprised?
Greg wrote on December 24, 2007 11:35 AM:it says in the hed that there are "theories" that he's winning in Iowa, which is what Bowers addresses, then dismisses
As for homepage, I'm not seeing what you mean
elisabeth wrote on December 24, 2007 12:29 PM:About the Caucuses
Sometimes, people just leave and don't make a second choice. The "division" cannot begin until 7:00; and with lots of campaigns encouraging people to "go early" that means that by the time the first division is done you may have been in the room for more than an hour -- rooms that are likely to be crowded, since space has been tight in both 2004 and now. So, at the end of the first division, some folks in unviable groups just leave and don't join another group.
Similarly, campaigns can't always control what people do -- even if say, Edwards and Kucinich make another deal to ask Kucinich voters to move to Edwards on the second round (and you can do that even if your group was viable in round one), the individuals may or may not comply...
no mention that blacks always poll higher than actual votes
yesterday gone wrote on December 25, 2007 3:04 PM:re edwards,
how rare or common is it for a candidate to match or exceed the level of success he had from a previous campaign?
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