Rasmussen: Romney Ahead By Six In Florida

Comments (16)

Mike wrote on January 27, 2008 2:25 PM:

Looks like it's going to be a very close race. Which is bad news for Hillary because now they won't be talking about her "winning" the non-contest on the Democratic side. The headlines are all going to be about Romney or McCain picking up a huge victory.

kjoe wrote on January 27, 2008 3:06 PM:

So----yesterday I was critical of your poll tracker including the Florida figures---isn't it supposed to be for zero delegates?

But today---I am looking at the 44-19 figures---considering NC results after that poll, the kennedy's endorsements, etc. Let us all remember---Hillary is supposed to win by almost 20 points----anything less----is more proof that obama, yada yada. And, of course, in the spirit of the Clintons' sc attitude---anything more than 20 points is meaningless.

After a shaky start---maybe Obama is catching on to this expectations nonsense.

Steaming Pile wrote on January 27, 2008 3:09 PM:

This is, of course, very good news for those of us who support the GOP Clusterfuck. Go Mitt! Spend more of your non-military sons' inheritance.

KyleXY wrote on January 27, 2008 4:12 PM:

Clinton ahead by 19 in Florida!!!

Oh I forgot I'm at TPM. Good news for Clinton gets ignored.

Arianna would be proud.

za wrote on January 27, 2008 4:19 PM:

Kyle:

Perhaps if you said something that has bearing on the actual race, someone would listen.

I listened at first.......then the lint in my belly-button commanded more attention.

Sorry.

Matthew wrote on January 27, 2008 4:33 PM:

Talk about elections and polls. I see Traitor Leiberman on CNN now campaigning for McCain in Florida. Personally, for as useless as the Senate has proven to be (no impeachment, no hard decisions on war and other matters) they might as well dump Leiberman at risk of losing Senate majority. It is not worth it having Leiberman undermine the party so blatantly by campaigning for a Republican instead of the Democrats.

Steve wrote on January 27, 2008 5:04 PM:

Latest Insider Advantage Poll shows that Romney's lead is now gone in Florida:

Romney: 25%
McCain: 25%
Huckabee: 17%
Giuliani: 17%
Paul: 6%
Other: 3%
Undecided: 7

ChrisNBama wrote on January 27, 2008 5:17 PM:

KyleXY,

Refresh my memory, how many democratic delegates are in play in FL?

KyleXY wrote on January 27, 2008 5:18 PM:

They all will be...

ChrisNBama wrote on January 27, 2008 5:19 PM:

Matthew,

Lieberman isn't a "traitor" per se. The democrats in Connecticut gave him the boot then he decided to run as an indie. Power is more important than party to Lieberman.

My strong hope is that when the dems win a veto proof majority in the Senate in November that Lieberman will be stripped of his chairmanship.

ChrisNBama wrote on January 27, 2008 5:20 PM:

KyleXY,

Sorry, I'm not following you. How many delegates from FL will be seated at the convention?

DemUnity08 wrote on January 27, 2008 5:22 PM:

As a Clinton/Obama '08 supporter I'd be thrilled to see Romney as the Rep. opponent because he polls worse than McCain. I suspect he'd be quite a bit easier to beat because he appeals to much less to independents, and his religion will be a liability particularly to the evangelical GOP base.

And then there's this, though I hesitate to admit it: from what I've heard, Romney really wasn't all that terrible of a governor in Massachusetts. If by some unthinkable calamity (i.e., Diebold) he actually won the presidency, there's always the hope that he might govern more as the moderate GOP governor he used to be rather than the total phony he's running as now. I just have no idea which Romney is the real Romney, or if there even is such a thing as the real Romney.

Go Mitt!

ChrisNBama wrote on January 27, 2008 5:33 PM:

DemUnity,

I agree. A Romney nomination would be a dream come true.

I'm not at all comfortable with the idea of a John McCain nomination. Even with his contrarian views vis a vis Iraq, he's a moderate who isn't afraid of compromise for the sake of pragmatism.

A McCain nomination places the democrats in a distinct disadvantage. Hillary has been touting her so-called 35 years of experience (seven of which are truly electoral in nature). This has been a staple of her campaign, "Ready to Lead" and all that. Well, none of that means anything with a McCain nomination. The whole experience mantle is immediately conceded to McCain. This would be the same with an Obama nomination, too.

Moreover, if Hillary were to get the democratic nomination, her ability to fight against the war in Iraq becomes muted as well. Hillary, after all, authorized the war, and actively supported it until sometime in 2005 when public opinion began to turn south.

So, with experience and Iraq diminished, Hillary is left with, what exactly? She certainly won't appeal to independents and Reagan democrats. She doesn't have the charisma to create a narrative of change. The only thing she can hope for is that McCain keels over on the trail, but one look at his feisty 95 year old mother renders that moot too.

I think Obama offers the right contrast to McCain. He could, in my opinion, bring about a working coalition that would upset McCain in the fall.

Now, If Romney gets the nomination. I think either Hillary or Obama would rout him.

Dee Illuminati wrote on January 27, 2008 5:53 PM:

Darth Cheney's Daughter Joins Romney Camp

vibe viper wrote on January 27, 2008 8:04 PM:

I understand the Dem CW theory about McCain, I understand why we're "pulling for" Romney, and I've seen the head-to-head polls. But consider this. John McCain is OLD. He is cranky and grumpy, and now he's got to spend more time than ever fundraising even if he gets the nomination.

I've seen it persuasively argued that Al Gore lost the presidency because Bush outworked him in the last weeks of the campaign and kept up a killing appearance schedule. Put McCain through that wringer and he might just come apart. He might tell a reporter to kiss his ass, something like that.

Romney is obviously athletic. If it comes down to sheer chutzpah and endurance he probably has more even than Obama. And to the extent that he smells the presidency he will spend every nickel he has. The Mormons will kick in hugely, because that's what Mormonism really is: not a religion. It's a group of business contacts.

Be careful what you wish for. McCain has a record. He can't change completely. Romney is a blank slate. He has flipflopped so much that it doesn't seem to count. Romney is more disciplined than McCain in that he knows he doesn't "think" anything, he just says what they tell him to say. McCain actually wants to drive the car, so he's far more likely to make slips.

The guy to prop up would have been Huck.

Gregor wrote on January 27, 2008 9:55 PM:

I saw McCain today on CNN's BallotBox. First, I had no idea he was putting on shows with Lieberman on stage. That was an eye-opener. Also, since I have been following the DEM race much more, I had only started this week to realize that McCain is going to run on a message in 100% support of the Iraq War. His only concession is that he is claiming the Surge as his own.

Yeah. This is not the vigorous McCain of 2000. His verbal presentation now is much, much weaker. Also, in order to outflank Romney, he has decided to to go with a take no prisoners (no pun intended) approach on, again, the Iraq War.

I too want to see Romney win FL by a touch, because I think it keeps the GOP race a total mess. That said, I agree that McCain is looking aged, and is painting himself into a corner. Worse for him is that the economy could burst out into center stage by late Summer.

I've stopped wishing for a weak GOP frontrunner, and instead am rooting for a big GOP food fight at the convention.

But frankly it doesn't matter because the GOP is without a message this year.

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